Was The Airbus A380plus A Mistake?

Daniel-Fowkes-Profile
04 Nov 2023
5 min read
· Aircraft 
A photo of Airbus' proposed A380plus development study with the refined sharklets that would add fuel efficiency

Some call the Airbus A380 the King of the Skies, while others call it the aircraft that killed the 747.

However, the A380’s capabilities have always remained impressive. Airbus, though, has struggled since the aircraft’s conception to sell it to a broader range of customers.

In 2021, the European plane maker ended production after completing a relatively small order backlog. Additionally, Emirates cancelled orders in 2019, which contributed to the shutdown.

However, one area that the manufacturer definitely got wrong, many would say, is timing. People argue that the A380 came years too late, when airlines were moving away from quad-engine aircraft and toward more efficient twin-engine planes.

The Proposition Of The A380plus

When Airbus put forward an A380plus, well, eyebrows were raised. How, after all, could a company that seemingly failed to sustain a predecessor variant reignite interest in such a program?

The A380plus was intended to act as an upgraded variant of the A380-800. It has remained the sole type offered to customers since its inception. This despite initial interest in an A380F.

Airbus’ A380plus aimed to improve fuel efficiency and operational performance. Through this mission, the planemaker wanted to turn an aircraft on its head. They planned to do this by bringing together everything customers wanted from the first iteration, which the plane lacked, into a new aircraft.

Was This Logic Flawed?

This logic isn’t flawed on the surface. After all, returning with an improved version of something that may not have worked, say, as initially envisaged, can be very beneficial.

However, the aviation industry’s metrics are more nuanced, and this logic doesn’t always hold up.

Understanding The A380plus Changes

Airbus’ proposed enhancements included aerodynamic improvements and increased capacity. One of the most noticeable exterior differences would be the addition of sharklets.

The winglets, as described by the European plane maker, would cut fuel burn by up to 4% and reduce cost per seat by 13% compared to the A380-800.

The Airbus COO at the time explained that the A380plus would offer better economics and improved operational performance at the same time.

It is a new step for our iconic aircraft to serve worldwide, best fast -growing traffic and evolving needs of the A380 customers. The A380 is well proven as the solution to increasing congestion at large airports and offering a unique passenger -preferred experience.

Airbus COO

Concerns Around The End Of Quad-Engine Planes

Despite the A380plus making headlines worldwide and sparking plenty of discussion about its potential, the aircraft never flew. Several vital factors contributed to its demise, and they did so before it even started as a project.

It was generally hard for Airbus to pitch a quad-engined plane when options like the 787 and 777 series at Boeing, and even Airbus’ own A350, existed.

Why would customers choose something that could have far worse repercussions for their business when safer options were available?

The age of the quad jets is now entering its twilight, but back then, it was very much in its sunset phase. As a result, no matter how hard the manufacturer tried, and yes, even with the improvements, customers weren’t keen enough to commit to the study and fly the aircraft.

Pair that with the A380’s capacity, and the pool of airlines that could use it is relatively small. It can also only work on specific routes. This significantly narrows down Airbus’ customer base and target audience.

No matter how Airbus adjusted the A380, it was always going to be a double-decker plane, and in this case, a quad-engine one, too.

Emirates’ Lack Of Interest

Emirates is the largest operator of the Airbus A380 series. So when Airbus comes knocking with a new variant, there’s significant discussion about Emirates’ potential move.

The Dubai-based airline has expressed interest in an improved version of the wide-body plane on numerous occasions. When the largest customer comes knocking, many would argue that as a plane maker, you listen.

While not precisely the A380plus, Emirates has strongly advocated for an A380neo. This is essentially a new engine option for the A380. Emirates believed that if it could be done, they’d commit to purchasing it.

Emirates eyes an A380neo as demand continues to surge and the airline looks for ways to navigate slot restrictions that will begin affecting airports worldwide. The A380 lets it carry much more capacity into key hubs than other aircraft types.

An A380neo Is Easier Said Than Done

While the idea came from Emirates, the A380neo was easier said than done for Airbus.

While Emirates could throw out suggestions, Airbus would need to discuss with engine manufacturers investing in new engines for the A380neo.

Ultimately, these engine manufacturers were very reluctant to proceed. They didn’t want to spend money on an aircraft series that, at that point, was already seeing slower deliveries and little interest.

While a significant investment for any engine maker, the program would also require substantial resources. While Emirates was interested in a Rolls-Royce, several other exciting programs are already in the works that focus primarily on more sustainable travel.

For them, that’s a much larger priority. That’s why key manufacturers don’t want to invest in Boom Supersonic Overture.

However, Boom may have a far weaker business model and less long-term sustainability in the industry than Airbus. It’s the same principle, though.

So Airbus not progressing with the A380neo makes sense, despite Emirates executives pleading at their doors for the aircraft.

If their largest customer expressed interest in acquiring a new A380 only under one condition and you go down another avenue, you’ll question whether the project will succeed.

Was Revealing the A380plus A Mistake?

So was it a mistake for Airbus not to pursue the A380 plus further?

There was always going to be limited interest. Still, it never hurts to test the waters. Airbus saw potential to improve the A380 series. However, it wasn’t meant to be.

In the meantime, the A350-1000, 787-10, and 777X will lead the line as part of the next generation of wide-body aircraft.

Sometimes, projects remain concepts for many reasons. But unfortunately, they don’t get off the ground and fly; the knowledge gained from such an endeavour is always valuable.

We’ve seen this time and again at multiple manufacturers, who revealed concepts and development studies that never flew.

However, a decade later, the company revisited the study and plucked out the best bits. They concluded by applying and tweaking the ideas into a more well-rounded concept that worked and would succeed in the industry.

Daniel-Fowkes-Profile

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Daniel Fowkes

Daniel Fowkes is a Melbourne-based aviation analyst and journalist with over a decade of industry experience. As founder of Dj’s Aviation, he delivers trusted analysis on aircraft, airline strategy and global aviation trends for djsaviation.net

More About Author

Leave a Reply

  1. I mean with some tweaking the 777xs engines produce 134k each while 14k total lost is alot it’s probably not unreasonable as rolls royce is making their own version a 2 engine version doesn’t seem that far

Stay Informed

Get the latest aviation news, analysis and route updates delivered to your inbox.

We respect your privacy. Unsubscribe at any time.

Enjoyed this story?

Make us your go-to for aviation news

Add us as a preferred source on Google and see our latest stories first in Top Stories.

Add Us On Your News Feed